Inverse Power Law (IPL)-Lognormal Model
This example validates the calculations for the IPL life stress relationship with a lognormal distribution in Accelerated Life Testing (ALTA) life-stress data folios.
Reference Case
The data set is from Example 19.10 on page 504 in book Statistical Methods for Reliability Data by Dr. Meeker and Dr. Escobar, John Wiley & Sons, 1998.
Data
A Mylar-Polyurethane insulating structure was tested under several different voltage settings. The following table shows the test data.
Time Failed (Hr) | Voltage (kV) |
---|---|
15 | 219 |
16 | 219 |
36 | 219 |
50 | 219 |
55 | 219 |
95 | 219 |
122 | 219 |
129 | 219 |
625 | 219 |
700 | 219 |
49 | 157.1 |
99 | 157.1 |
154.5 | 157.1 |
180 | 157.1 |
291 | 157.1 |
447 | 157.1 |
510 | 157.1 |
600 | 157.1 |
1656 | 157.1 |
1721 | 157.1 |
188 | 122.4 |
297 | 122.4 |
405 | 122.4 |
744 | 122.4 |
1218 | 122.4 |
1340 | 122.4 |
1715 | 122.4 |
3382 | 122.4 |
606 | 100.3 |
1012 | 100.3 |
2520 | 100.3 |
2610 | 100.3 |
3988 | 100.3 |
4100 | 100.3 |
5025 | 100.3 |
6842 | 100.3 |
Result
The following function is used for the Ln-Mean
:
where V is the voltage and its natural log transform is used in the above life stress relation.
This function can be written in the following way:
The above equation is the general log-linear model in Weibull++. In Weibull++, the coefficients are denoted by
.
In fact, the above model also can be expressed using the traditional IPL (inverse power law) model:
where and
.
In the book, the following results are provided:
- ML estimations for the model parameters are:
,
and
.
- The standard deviation of each parameter are:
,
and
.
- Therefore, their variances are:
,
and
.
- The log-likelihood value is -271.4.
- The 95% two-sided confidence intervals are: for
, it is [0.83, 1.32]; for
, it is [21.6, 33.4]; and for
, it is [-5.46, -3.11].
Results in Weibull++
- ML estimations for the model parameters are:
- The variance and covariance matrix for model parameters is:
- The log-likelihood value is -271.4247.
- The 95% two-sided confidence intervals are: